Japan Slips Into Technical Recession - How Will This Impact the Yen? USD/JPY Analysis

2024/02/20 に公開
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USD/JPY has been under pressure in the last week or so after Japan annonced its economy has contracted for two quarters in a row - something many consider as a technical recession.

In an interview with “Squawk Box Asia” on the 15th of February, former member of the Bank of Japan's board Sayuri Shira anticipates that the central bank will abandon its negative interest rate policy in the upcoming spring. However, due to slow economic growth, the bank's ability to counteract the depreciation of the yen will be limited.

BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda faces mounting pressure to halt the decline of the yen caused by the disparity between high interest rates in the United States and Japan's extremely accommodative monetary policy. However, he is also constrained by persistently high inflation levels that BOJ policymakers consider unsustainable. This inflation has dampened domestic demand and pushed the economy into a technical recession. As a result of this unexpected downturn, Japan's economy has now slipped to the world's fourth-largest, trailing behind Germany.

00:00 Intro
00:11 USD/JPY News update
07:54 USD/JPY chart analysis
11:56 Recap

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